Monday, April 7, 2008

Severe Weather Possibe Late Wednesday early Thursday, 9th and 10th, 2008




The WRF model indicates Severe Weather is a possiblility for the Central and Eastern Permian Basin beggininng late Wednesday and culminating at maximum potential around 0600Z Thursday when interaction between intensifying Upper Level Trough with associated "right exit region" embedded short waves converge over 850MB Theta E Ridge from enhanced LLJ. The GFS solution is a little faster in timing than WRF which could increase severe threat if aided by solar insolation. At left, is the WRF 500 MB wind speed predicted at 0600Z Thursday followed by the 850 MB Theta E. The finale image is MLCAPE values as predicted by WRF at 0600Z Thursday.

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